Startup Tech Stack, Plausible Tomorrows, and Effective Team Dynamics
"The shortest answer is doing the thing."
Good morning
In today's edition, among other things:
Plausible Tomorrows 2035-2049
The Startup Tech Stack
Gen AI Adoption in 2024
Effective Team Dynamics
How Many VC Meetings do Startups Need to Raise their Seed Round?
US Startup Fundraising Benchmarks
2+2 Storytelling
How to Hire with AI
How to Become a CTO
The EU AI Act: Guide for Developers
Onwards!
Plausible Tomorrows 2035-2049
Khosla Ventures dropped a Plausible Tomorrows 2035-2049 deck. Main takeaways:
#1: expertise will be free
We will be capable of having accessible AI-based near free tutors for every child, and doctors for every citizen 24x7.
#2: labor will be near free
We will have a billion bipedal (and other) robots freeing humans from the servitude of undesirable jobs, creating a larger industry than the auto industry
#3: computer use will grow expansively
There will be a billion+ programmers all “programming” in natural, human language, dramatically increasing what can be done with computers. Computers will adapt to humans, not humans to computers, democratizing computers
#4: AI will play a large role in entertainment & design
Music and entertainment will be plentiful, and personalized for you and your mood! Content creation would be commoditized, but not change the celebrity-consumer relationship
#5: internet access will be mostly by agents
Most consumer access of the internet will be agents acting for consumers doing tasks and fending off marketers and bots. Tens of billions of agents on the internet will be normal
#6: there will be clean, dispatchable electric power
By 2050, fusion boilers will retrofit and replace coal and natural gas boilers reducing the need to build whole new fusion plants. Superhot geothermal >400C is also a real alternative
#7: cars could be displaced in cities
We could replace the majority of cars in most cities with personal autonomous transit as on-demand, affordable, public transit with little public financing. This will reduce congestion, increase city street throughput
#8: flying will be faster
We will have Mach 5 planes that get us from NYC to London in 90 minutes – on sustainable aviation fuel, making the world closer!
#9: resources will be plentiful
We can discover more natural resources than we consume & prove resource doomers wrong on lithium, cobalt, copper…
#10: we will have new food & fertilizers
We will have much better alternate protein production to replace traditional animal protein, & “green” fertilizer. And taste will far exceed that of traditional cows!
#11: from the practice to the science of medicine
We will be capable of providing precision care based on patients’ -omics, as well as AI models for each individual enabling N=1 personalized simulation, therapeutics, drug dosage
#12: carbon will have solutions, if we have time
Carbon emissions could be a smaller issue because we will get entrepreneurs to develop & scale better technologies for cement, steel, agriculture, transportation, power production, DAC, etc.
Almost all are pretty bold predictions, some with big societal impact if true (#2), some difficult to believe today (#9) and some pretty obvious, yet significant (#5).
The Startup Tech Stack
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